Eastern Turkey aftershocks 10/24

	MAG	UTC DATE-TIME y/m/d h:m:s	LAT deg	LON deg	DEPTH km

5.6

2011/10/23 10:56:50

38.668

43.332

20.4

5.6

2011/10/23 11:32:41

38.696

43.403

17.5

5.1

2011/10/23 18:10:46

38.592

43.187

9.6

6.0

2011/10/23 20:45:37

38.555

43.161

9.8

The first (earliest) Richter 5.6 is what traditional models predict as an aftershock. From that perspective, we are statistically okay – until the 6.0. From a Turkish and human point of view this tragedy is more than bad enough.  That said, when we were analyzing possible futures after the disastrous Izmit event of 1999, we found the general westward trend of major Anatolian Fault events very troubling as Istanbul looked to be the host of the next event.