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Eastern Turkey aftershocks 10/24

  MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s
LAT
deg
LON
deg
DEPTH
km
5.6   2011/10/23 10:56:50    38.668    43.332  20.4   
 5.6   2011/10/23 11:32:41    38.696    43.403  17.5   
 5.1   2011/10/23 18:10:46    38.592    43.187  9.6   
 6.0   2011/10/23 20:45:37    38.555    43.161  9.8   

The first (earliest) Richter 5.6 is what traditional models predict as an aftershock. From that perspective, we are statistically okay – until the 6.0. From a Turkish and human point of view this tragedy is more than bad enough.  That said, when we were analyzing possible futures after the disastrous Izmit event of 1999, we found the general westward trend of major Anatolian Fault events very troubling as Istanbul looked to be the host of the next event.   

 

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